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FAA Airport 2001 Executive Summary added
06/06/01
http://www.faa.gov/events/benchmarks/DOWNLOAD/doc/01-ExecSummary.doc
Setting the Framework for Benchmarks
The benchmarks in this report are a
relatively simple expression of a complex quantity, airport capacity. They serve
primarily as a reference point on the state of the airport system at a specific
time. They can be updated in the future to mark progress. They can also be used
to identify and compare specific types of airports, for instance to determine
which airports are most severely affected by adverse weather or to compare the
prospects for airports that plan to build new runways to those that do not. The
benchmarks also provide a starting point for public policy discussions, because
they give a succinct report on the current and future state of major airport
capacity.
Benchmarks are useful data that help frame discussions. However,
they are not a substitute for the more detailed analysis that should precede
major investment and policy decisions. In this sense they might be compared to a
vital sign of human health, such as blood pressure. That simple indicator might
be the starting point for a diagnosis, but more information would be wanted
before recommending surgery. Similarly, capacity benchmarks help identify
problem areas but are not, in themselves, an adequate basis for selecting
remedies.
This issue is apparent in the case of Atlanta Hartsfield
International Airport. The scheduled operations exceed the benchmarks several
times daily in optimum weather and frequently under reduced rate conditions. The
simple comparison of schedule to benchmarks suggests that some action is needed
to curtail the schedule. However, air traffic controllers, airlines, and the
airport operator have indicated in discussions that they are relatively
comfortable with the current schedule and believe that it makes efficient use of
the airport. Their judgment is based on vast experience and a broad
understanding of air transportation. Some of the considerations are specific to
Atlanta (favorable runway configuration, weather patterns, and airspace
structure), some are applicable to transfer hub airports in general (the
concentration of traffic into schedule peaks to allow passengers to make
convenient transfer between flights, the ability to catch up with traffic
between peaks in the schedule, and the ability of hubbing carriers to cancel and
consolidate some flights during reduced rate conditions), and some are
applicable to all busy airports (the premise that some amount of congestion and
delay is not inconsistent with efficient and affordable air transportation).
Purpose
The FAA has developed capacity benchmarks for 31 of the nations busiest
airports to understand the relationship between airline demand and airport
runway capacity and what we in the aviation community can do about it.
Capacity benchmarks are defined as the maximum number of flights an airport
can routinely handle in an hour.
- These benchmarks are estimates of a complex quantity that varies widely
with weather conditions, runway configurations, and the mix of aircraft
types. Capacity benchmarks assume there are no constraints in the en route
system or the airport terminal area. They are useful for broad policy
discussions and the development of longterm strategies.
Methodology
Between October 2000 and April 2001, the FAA and MITRE/CAASD developed
capacity benchmarks for 31 airports.
There are two rates for each airport an optimum rate based on good
weather conditions and a reduced rate based on adverse weather conditions,
which may include poor visibility, unfavorable winds, or heavy precipitation.
- The optimum rate is defined as the maximum number of aircraft that can
be routinely handled using visual approaches during periods of unlimited
ceiling and visibility.
- The reduced rate is defined as the maximum number of aircraft that can
be routinely handled during reduced visibility conditions when radar is
required to provide separation between aircraft. This rate was determined
for the most commonly used runway configuration in adverse weather
conditions.
- The benchmarks reflect the number of takeoffs and landings per hour for
the given conditions. These benchmarks can be exceeded occasionally and
lower rates can be expected under adverse conditions.
- The FAA confirmed capacity benchmark rates in three ways:
- Benchmark rates for each airport were provided by the air traffic team
at the facility and the airport operator and were based on their
collective operational experience.
- Benchmark rates provided by the air traffic teams were compared to
historical arrival and departure data (Aviation System Performance
Metrics) to confirm that they represent the best performance of the
airport.
- Using the FAAs widely accepted airfield capacity computer model,
benchmark rates were also calculated based on a set of standard
performance characteristics.
- The resulting capacity benchmarks were then compared to carrier schedule
data from the Official Airline Guide. Scheduled carrier operations
constitute a significant part, but not all, of an airports traffic.
Excluded are general aviation and military operations, non-scheduled flights
and some cargo operations. These typically account for between 1 and 30% of
the total traffic at the 31 airports studied.
- Human factors play a critical role in the benchmark rates reported by the
air traffic facility. Benchmarks are strongly affected by how busy the
airport is and how aggressively the management team sets target rates.
- Six airports were selected for on-site visits to validate the methodology:
Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, St. Louis, Memphis, and Detroit. These
on-site visits included discussions with local air traffic personnel,
airport authorities, and air carriers serving the airport. For the other
airports, discussions were conducted with managers at the local air traffic
facility.
- The individual benchmark summaries compare projected growth in capacity
with projected growth in demand to understand the relationship between
future airline demand and airport capacity. Demand is based on the Terminal
Area Forecast, the FAAs projection of aviation activity at select U.S.
airports, and is revised annually to reflect current and anticipated
economic and social conditions.
- Historically, there are several measures of delay commonly used. (See
appendix) The measure used herein to identify the most delayed airports is
the percent of aircraft delayed more than 15 minutes from the FAAs
Operations Network (OPSNET).
Assumptions
The improvements that were considered as part of the study included new
runways for which plans are sufficiently advanced, and the following
technologies and procedures, where they were appropriate to the specific
airport:
- Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast/Cockpit Display of Traffic
Information with Local Area Augmentation System (ADS-B/CDTI with LAAS)
provides a cockpit display of the location of other aircraft and will help
the pilot maintain the desired separation more precisely.
- Flight Management System/Area Navigation (FMS/RNAV) Routes allow a
more consistent flow of aircraft to the runway.
- Passive Final Approach Spacing Tool (pFAST) assists the controller
with runway assignment and sequencing for aircraft and better flow of
traffic into the terminal area.
- Simultaneous instrument approaches allow full independent use of two
or more runways for landings in adverse weather conditions.
- Precision Runway Monitor (PRM) a high update radar system that
allows simultaneous instrument approaches to parallel runways as close as
3000 feet apart. Also helps in procedural applications such as
Simultaneous Offset Instrument Approaches (SOIA) where applicable.
- Land and Hold Short Operations (LAHSO) allows independent arrivals
for specific aircraft types on intersecting runways, where runway
geometries permit.
- Benefits from planned improvements assume that all required infrastructure
and regulatory approvals will be in place including aircraft equipment,
airspace design, environmental reviews, radio frequencies, training, etc. as
needed.
- In general, the benchmarks do not consider any limitation on airport
traffic flow that may be caused by non-runway constraints at the airport or
elsewhere in the National Airspace System. Such constraints may include:
- Taxiway and gate congestion, runway crossings, slot controls,
construction activity;
- Terminal airspace, especially limited departure headings;
- Traffic flow restrictions caused by en route miles-in-trail
restrictions, weather, or congestion problems at other airports; and
- Seasonal limitations due to high temperatures that restrict aircraft climb
rates.
Observations across all 31 Airports
The nature and extent of the problem and discussions of potential solutions
are site-specific and different for each of the airports. However, there is a
general pattern that as the airport traffic volume approaches capacity, delays
increase. Thus, airports can achieve maximum capacity only at a reduced
quality of service.
Today there are eight airports that experience significant passenger
delays where three percent or more of the operations experience delays
in excess of 15 minutes:
- New York LaGuardia
- Newark
- New York Kennedy
- Chicago OHare
- San Francisco
- Philadelphia
- Atlanta
- Boston
- The benchmark study predicts that, in 10 years, the first 6 of the 8
airports above plus Los Angeles will still have significant passenger
delays. New runways at Atlanta and Boston should alleviate delays at those
two airports.
- Table 1 shows the capacity benchmarks for the 31 airports studied.
- The capacity of airports decreases in adverse weather conditions, which
may include poor visibility, unfavorable winds, or heavy precipitation. The
reduced rate reflects the capacity benchmark for the most commonly used
configuration in adverse weather. Under very low ceiling/visibility in
Instrument Meteorological Conditions (IMC), capacity is even lower.
- Extent of capacity loss during operations at reduced rates (as compared to
the optimum) varies widely across the 31 airports, e.g.,
- At Cincinnati and Minneapolis-St. Paul, it is minimal (2 percent)
- At some airports like Detroit, Washington Dulles, and Houston, it is
relatively small (10 percent or less)
- At other airports like St. Louis and San Francisco it is very high
(about 40 percent)
These differences are due to different runway configurations
and operational procedures in adverse weather at each airport.
- Most airports are able to handle demand under good weather conditions
(i.e., optimum capacity). New York LaGuardia is an exception and is the
highest ranked airport for delay rates in the year 2000. Looking at the
number of aircraft delayed significantly (i.e., greater than 15 minutes),
LaGuardia had 156 delays per 1,000 aircraft operations and Newark was a
distant second at 81 delays per 1,000 aircraft operations (Table 2).
- During good weather, delays are generally small and manageable.
- During bad weather, capacity is lower and results in even more delays.
Overall, LaGuardia, Newark, Chicago OHare, and San Francisco have the
highest delay rates (57 to 156 delays per 1,000 aircraft operations).
Several airports such as Las Vegas, Baltimore-Washington, Denver, and Salt
Lake City do not have any significant delay problems (less than 10 delays
per 1,000 aircraft operations).
- New runways planned for 14 airports provide significant capacity
increases but the amount of the increase varies from site to site.
- Detailed plans for new runways in the next 10 years were available for
Atlanta, Houston, Dallas/Fort Worth, Phoenix, Washington Dulles, St. Louis,
Detroit, Cincinnati, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Miami, Seattle-Tacoma, Orlando,
Charlotte, and Denver. Additional airport operators are considering new
runways, but their plans are not advanced to the point where the impact can
be estimated.
- Nominal increases are in the range of 30 to 60 percent at Atlanta,
Houston, Phoenix, Washington Dulles, Seattle-Tacoma, and Minneapolis-St.
Paul.
- Some airports with high capacity configurations at their disposal today
have a lower percentage of capacity increase from new runways (e.g.,
Denver).
- Technology improvements also provide capacity increases most are in
the 3 to 8 percent range.
- Procedural enhancements also hold promise. Depending on the airport, the
enhancements could account for an additional 5 to 10 percent improvement in
operations.
- For those airports operating close to capacity, technology and procedural
changes could have a significant impact in improving capacity.
- Projected demand growth to 2010 at these 31 airports varies from 4 percent
at Washington National Airport to 42 percent at Orlando.
Table 1
Capacity Benchmarks for Todays Operations at 31 Airports
|
|
|
|
|
|
Airport |
Optimum |
Reduced |
|
ATL |
Atlanta Hartsfield
International |
185200 |
167-174 |
|
BOS |
Boston Logan International |
118126 |
7888 |
|
BWI |
Baltimore-Washington
International |
111120 |
7275 |
|
CLT |
Charlotte/Douglas
International |
130140 |
108116 |
|
CVG |
Cincinnati-Northern Kentucky |
123125 |
121125 |
|
DCA |
Washington Reagan National |
7680 |
6266 |
|
DEN |
Denver International |
204218 |
160196 |
|
DFW |
Dallas-Fort Worth
International |
261-270 |
183-185 |
|
DTW |
Detroit Metro Wayne County |
143146 |
136138 |
|
EWR |
Newark International |
92108 |
7478 |
|
HNL |
Honolulu International |
120126 |
6060 |
|
IAD |
Washington Dulles
International |
120121 |
105117 |
|
IAH |
Houston Bush
Intercontinental |
120123 |
112113 |
|
JFK |
New York Kennedy
International |
8898 |
7171 |
|
LAS |
Las Vegas McCarran
International |
8485 |
5257 |
|
LAX |
Los Angeles International |
148150 |
127128 |
|
LGA |
New York LaGuardia |
8081 |
6264 |
|
MCO |
Orlando International |
144145 |
104112 |
|
MEM |
Memphis International |
150152 |
112120 |
|
MIA |
Miami International |
124134 |
95108 |
|
MSP |
Minneapolis-St. Paul
International |
115120 |
112112 |
|
ORD |
Chicago OHare
International |
200202 |
157160 |
|
PHL |
Philadelphia International |
100110 |
9196 |
|
PHX |
Phoenix Sky Harbor
International |
101110 |
6065 |
|
PIT |
Greater Pittsburgh
International |
140160 |
110131 |
|
SAN |
San Diego Lindbergh Field |
4357 |
3849 |
|
SEA |
Seattle-Tacoma International |
9091 |
7881 |
|
SFO |
San Francisco International |
95-99 |
6772 |
|
SLC |
Salt Lake City International |
130132 |
95105 |
|
STL |
Lambert St. Louis
International |
104112 |
6465 |
|
TPA |
Tampa International |
110119 |
8087 |
Table 2
Capacity Benchmark Summary
|
Airport
(ranked
by delay
in 2000) |
Capacity
Improvement (percent) |
Projected
Growth to 2010 (percent) |
Delays per
1000 operations (2000) |
|
New Runway
(if planned) |
New
Technology* |
New Runway
Plus New Technology** |
|
Optimum |
Reduced |
Optimum |
Reduced |
Optimum |
Reduced |
|
LGA |
|
|
10 |
3 |
10 |
3 |
17 |
155.9 |
|
EWR |
|
|
10 |
7 |
10 |
7 |
20 |
81.2 |
|
ORD |
|
|
6 |
12 |
6 |
12 |
18 |
63.3 |
|
SFO |
|
|
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
56.8 |
|
BOS |
0 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
47.5 |
|
PHL |
|
|
17 |
11 |
17 |
11 |
23 |
44.5 |
|
JFK |
|
|
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
38.8 |
|
ATL |
31 |
27 |
5 |
6 |
37 |
34 |
28 |
30.9 |
|
IAH |
35 |
37 |
5 |
3 |
42 |
41 |
34 |
28.1 |
|
DFW |
3 |
17 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
21 |
21 |
23.8 |
|
PHX |
36 |
60 |
3 |
0 |
40 |
60 |
31 |
22.0 |
|
LAX |
|
|
11 |
4 |
11 |
4 |
25 |
21.9 |
|
IAD |
46 |
54 |
2 |
4 |
49 |
60 |
20 |
19.5 |
|
STL |
14 |
84 |
11 |
3 |
27 |
89 |
30 |
18.2 |
|
DTW |
25 |
17 |
5 |
6 |
31 |
24 |
31 |
17.6 |
|
CVG |
26 |
26 |
2 |
1 |
28 |
27 |
40 |
15.4 |
|
MSP |
29 |
26 |
4 |
4 |
34 |
31 |
32 |
12.7 |
|
MIA |
10 |
20 |
12 |
6 |
24 |
27 |
23 |
11.3 |
|
SEA |
52 |
46 |
3 |
4 |
57 |
51 |
17 |
10.4 |
|
LAS |
|
|
0 |
12 |
0 |
12 |
30 |
8.0 |
|
DCA |
|
|
4 |
8 |
4 |
8 |
4 |
8.0 |
|
BWI |
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
6.9 |
|
MCO |
23 |
34 |
5 |
3 |
28 |
38 |
42 |
6.3 |
|
CLT |
25 |
15 |
4 |
8 |
30 |
24 |
15 |
6.0 |
|
PIT |
|
|
3 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
15 |
3.8 |
|
SAN |
|
|
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
33 |
2.5 |
|
DEN |
18 |
4 |
6 |
13 |
25 |
17 |
23 |
2.2 |
|
SLC |
|
|
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
34 |
2.0 |
|
TPA |
|
|
0 |
19 |
0 |
19 |
18 |
1.6 |
|
MEM |
|
|
3 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
30 |
0.4 |
|
HNL |
|
|
2 |
7 |
2 |
7 |
25 |
0.0 |
* Estimates assume that new runways (where applicable) are in
place
** Numbers include compounding effects of new runways and new
technologies and are not strictly additive
|