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Why
the market potential is huge
The idea of a new transportation vehicle
such as the Skycar building up a huge market in under ten
years is not unreasonable - the jet engine completely
superseded the old prop engine on commercial airliners within
6 years - this required extending airport runways, as well as
designing, building, and selling new airplanes.
Our expectation of a huge market is also
based on the idea that the Skycar will not just take market
share from current forms of transportation, it will
actually expand transportation use - people will take
more trips, and will go to places they haven't been able to
get to before.
Market Share Expected in
Selected Markets
|
Market
|
Skycar
% share
Stage III
|
Skycar
% share
Stage IV
|
Number of Skycars
Stage III
|
Skycars
Stages
III & IV
|
| Japan - HS Rail |
1%
|
10%
|
1,000
|
11,000
|
| Taiwan - HS Rail |
100%
|
0%
|
833
|
-
|
| US Regional Airline |
10%
|
20%
|
11,333
|
22,666
|
| US Auto long distance |
1%
|
5%
|
8,000
|
40,000
|
| US Auto commute |
0.5%
|
1%
|
30,000
|
60,000
|
| Seattle Light Rail |
100%
|
0%
|
1,000
|
1,000
|
| |
|
Skycars
|
52,000
|
135,000
|
All functions of the Skycar operation -
development, manufacture, operation, maintenance and ground
traffic control - will be driven by the profit motive - this
is far better than mass transit projects, which
invariably are not self-supporting and so increase taxes.
Why
Asia is an appropriate early market
Asian countries have intense urban
traffic congestion - ground traffic averages less than 5 mph
in Jakarta and Bangkok - cities with more than five million
people are enduring traffic congestion unimaginable in the
US.
A significant number of Asians can
afford to pay for better service - there will be over
1,000,000 millionaires in China by the year 2000 - India has
largest middle class in the world with 150,000,000 people need to update.
Asia has natural gas, which is ideal for
Skycars and even better than gasoline in Asia - by the year
2000 it is predicted that Pacific Rim demand will outstrip
regional supplies of oil by nearly 3 to 1, and that 90% of
the regions oil imports will come from the Persian Gulf
- the Asian countries with largest natural gas production are
Indonesia, Australasia, Malaysia, and China.
Several Asian countries are spending
immense sums of money to set up aviation industries - the
Skycar could be designed and prototyped in US and
manufactured in Asia for Asians - providing jobs as well as
exports.
Asian countries do not have
over-restrictive liability laws - for example, the American-made
R44 helicopter is being sold in Asia but not yet in the
US.
Asian topography, islands, dense
forests, fast population growth, and inadequate
infrastructure, both in urban and rural areas, stresses
current transportation systems.
MEET
THE DEVELOPERS
Paul
S. Moller
President, CEO, and Chairman of the
Board of Moller International, Inc., a Davis, California
company.
Received his ME and PhD degrees at
McGill University in Canada in 1961 and 1963.
Former professor at University of
California at Davis in Mechanical and Aeronautical
Engineering - founded the Aeronautical Engineering program at at that
University.
Founded Moller International in 1983 to
develop the Skycar.
Has invested 25 years, over
$59 million,
and 600,000 man-hours developing the Skycar - graduate
students completed over 900 projects toward the Skycar.
His Skycar technology was granted a
comprehensive US patent in May, 1992, followed by foreign
patents in major industrial countries.
Moller
International, Inc.
Moller has received 100 deposits to date
(1995) to reserve Skycars for delivery after FAA
certification.
Is currently developing the 4-passenger
M400 Skycar, and has plans for 1, 2, and 6 passenger models.
Aerobotics Inc. was recently spun off to
produce the Aerobot®, their aerial robotic
unmanned VTOL vehicle powered by gasoline or electricity -
customers include Caltrans (California Department of
Transportation) and the US Department of Defense.
The Freedom Engine company focuses on
rotary engine applications and manufacturing. It is majority
owned by Moller International.
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