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THE
M400 SKYCARâ - THIS IS IT
Overview updated Feb. 2001
While
this is a good overview of Skycar use, you might want to also go to Skycar main web
site www.moller.com
This overview had been proceeded by an executive summary
which has not been updated since 1998 and has no graphics.
The dream is a reality
People have dreamed about a small air
vehicle for years, but until now a practical one has not been
available. The Moller 400 Skycar is the first such vehicle,
an automobile-sized vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL)
aircraft for a maximum of 4 passengers.
The M400 Skycar is designed to cruise at maximum speeds of 350 mph at maximum
altitude of 30,000 ft. Initially the FAA laws and fuel economy will
limit cruising speeds to 285 mph at altitudes below 10,000 ft.
It can fly a maximum of 900 miles without needing to be refueled.
Quick, automatic fine adjustment and
maneuvering are executed through computer control to produce
a smooth flight. With advanced avionics, the Skycar will be
simple to fly, and will eventually be capable of complete
electronic piloting.
Cabin pressurization or oxygen will be
provided to make use of the faster speeds available at high altitudes.
Motorized landing gear wheels will provide
taxiing to parking or takeoff areas.
However, the
prototype Skycar is
not designed to be used on roads.
The Skycar is unique
The M400 Skycar is classified
by the FAA as a
"powered lift" vehicle. The- 4 pairs of rotary engines
with ducted fans produce 1200 hp which provide 2800 lb of
thrust.
The four M400 engine nacelles each
provide 700 lbs of vertical lift and together can lift the vehicle more than a
mile in 60 seconds.
Moveable vanes mounted behind the
engines direct thrust to control the direction of flight -
vertical, horizontal, banking, turns, etc. No ailerons,
flaps, or other external control surfaces are necessary. The
speed of each engine and the position of the vanes are the
only control variables.
The vehicle's shape provides aerodynamic
lift and good fuel economy when cruising. Only 4 of the 8
engines, operating at less than 2/3 capacity, would be needed
to maintain cruising speed at altitudes below 10,000 ft.
The M400 uses gasoline.
Depending on
altitude and cruise speed, the Skycar can be expected to get
18 to 22 mpg. Each takeoff requires approximately 1/10
gallon of gas. The M400's rotary engines will soon be
capable of using other fuels, such as methanol, ethanol, jet
fuel, diesel, liquid natural gas, and hydrogen.
The satellite-based Global Positioning
System with emergency ground-based radio navigation
will provide instant,
accurate navigation. An obstacle-avoidance radar looking
forward and down can be added for safety.
Communications with a Skycar ground
controller will be facilitated by automatic position
reporting through efficient radio and satellite transmission.
Ground-to-Skycar and Skycar-to-Skycar communications will
also be available from commercial cellular telephone and/or packet
communication.
A practical Skycar can now be built
Moller's patented improvements to the
rotary engine provides sufficient lift per pound of engine
weight to permit making a practical 4-passenger Skycar. Twenty five years ago, a similar vehicle design was tried by the Navy,
the X22A. Until the powerful, low cost and lightweight
Moller engine was available, a practical ducted fan air vehicle could not be built.

Ducted Fans Were Too Large, Heavy, and
Expensive 25 Years Ago
Avionics (computers, controls,
radio communications, etc.) have evolved to the point of
being light enough, cheap enough, and capable enough to
control flight with multiple engines. Avionics also provides obstacle
avoidance, path planning and navigation.
The development of composite
materials are now light-weight, strong, and avaiable in optimum
aerodynamic shapes at reasonable cost. Composite airframes
have been used since the Learjet in 1981.
Designed
to be safe
The M400 Skycar will be able to take off
and land vertically with one engine inoperable, and can fly and land
safely with several engines inoperable. It has no component which can
fail catastrophically, such as a helicopter's main rotor or small
airplane's single engine.
Engines, computers, radios, radars,
communications, and navigation systems all have emergency functionality, so
the failure of a single part will not be flight-critical.
New, lightweight, inexpensive
radars and quick maneuverability will allow the Skycar
to operate safely close to buildings, power lines, trees,
etc., and avoid aircraft. Other
aircraft will never have the maneuverability required
for safe electronic piloting in close quarters or turbulent
conditions.
A phased array radar capable of
detecting wires and birds was demonstrated in the late
80s which weighed only 52 lbs. The manufacturer
estimated that the production weight would be less than 30 pounds, and cost
approximately $10,000.
Skycars are more like high-tech
bats
than conventional aircraft. Both can land almost anywhere, quickly
change direction, fly without crashing into other members of
the flock, are not dependent on ground control, and are able to sense range
to other objects.
The Skycar design permits very fast
changes in speed and/or direction. The thrust can be changed
by 10% in velocity or direction in 1/10 of a second.
The M400 Skycar will be much less
dangerous for bystanders than a helicopter or small airplane. The whirling fan blades are contained in
housings lined with kevlar. Screens provide protection to passengers
and vehicle even if
the blades should self-destruct.
A computerized vehicle condition
management system will constantly monitor engine and other
functions and stress points on the Skycar, and warn of
maintenance needed or impending failure. A trip can be
aborted safely if necessary, and another Skycar dispatched to pick up passengers.
Comparison of Aircraft
|
| |
Skycar
|
Helicopter
|
Airplane
|
| Capability |
Moller
|
McDonnell
|
Single
Engine
|
| |
M400
|
Douglas
520N
|
TBM 700
|
| Passengers |
4
|
4 to 5
|
4 to 7
|
| Cruise speed |
350 mph
|
155
mph
|
293
mph
|
| Top speed |
390 mph
|
175
mph
|
345
mph
|
| Rate of climb |
7,150 fpm
|
1,850
fpm
|
2,300
fpm
|
| Payload with max fuel |
740 lbs
|
1,403
lbs
|
615
lbs
|
| Max. range @ payload |
900 mi
|
250 mi
|
1,800
mi
|
| Fuel consumption |
18-22 mpg
|
4 mpg
|
7 mpg
|
| Operational ceiling |
30,000 ft
|
14,000
ft
|
30,000
ft
|
| Gross weight |
2,400 lbs
|
3,350
lbs
|
6,250
lbs
|
| Dimensions -
L*W*H |
18'x9'x6'
|
28'x27'x9'
|
34'x40'x13'
|
| Engine power |
960 hp
|
450 hp
|
700 hp
|
| Takeoff and landing area |
35 ft diameter
|
75 ft
diameter
|
3500
ft x100 ft
|
| Noise at 500 feet |
65 dba
|
75 dba
|
70 dba
|
| Price new - 1998 $ |
$996,000
|
$850,000
|
$1,800,000
|
The Skycar can land
very quickly on almost any stable flat surface such as a
parking lot or field. The Skycar can also make an
emergency landing at an airport.
Early in its development when a human
pilot is required, the Skycar will be an extraordinarily safe
small aircraft.
The Skycar will be even safer when full
electronic piloting is added. When added, pilots will not be
required to make split-second decisions in difficult
situations. The combination of electronic pilot backed up by
a ground controller will virtually eliminate errors made
under conditions of fatigue, drunkenness, poor visibility, or
distraction.
In the highly unlikely event that
several engines fail, two ballistic parachutes on the
airframe will prevent a fatal crash. The Skycar's
aerodynamic body provides a 9 to 1 glide slope for making an
emergency landing at an airport or open area with parachutes.
If a parachute landing is needed over
water the Skycar will float, enabling passengers to debark
with life preservers. The proposed design should be able to
land and take off from water.
The Skycar will also be safer than an
automobile because it is not limited to a single dimension
for maneuvering. It has no road edges, guard rails or
slippery roads to avoid, no dangerous traffic congestion, and
no mechanical failure or human error to contend with.
With the electronic pilot, the Skycar
accident rate should be lower than for other aircraft. The Skycar
will react quickly, have more maneuverability, will follow
safe electronic flight rules, will have radar observability
for at least 5 miles ahead, and will have communication with
other vehicles as well as with the ground controller.
Next

Can
tolerate virtually all faults and errors
The position of each Skycar will be
reliably determined by continually cross-checking a variety
of information sources, including GPS satellite positioning,
VOR radios, radar identification of
ground reference points, and broadcasts from other Skycars.
The Skycar's computers
will confirm that sensors are operating correctly - this
reasonableness check is one of the major tasks for most
pilots.
The Skycar will
constantly run a computer simulation of its environment to
check the reasonableness of its performance and simulate what
could happen in the future as a result of its actions or
inactions.
Later, the electronic
pilot operation will permit the ground controller to be fully
aware of the condition and options of the Skycar during an
emergency, and to control it directly if necessary from the
ground.
Is
more flexible than other aircraft
The Skycar has more operational
flexibility than other small aircraft - it is designed to be
used for all lengths of trips, from the short commute in a
congested city to the several thousand mile cross-country
trip requiring hops of up to 900 miles between fuel stops.
The Skycar operates under adverse
conditions - its compact shape makes it flyable at night, in
fog, in most storms, high winds, microbursts, and conditions
other light aircraft cannot handle - however, tornadoes, thunderstorms, severe icing, and hurricanes
will need to be avoided.
Is
quiet
The Skycar's fans inside ducts
(nacelles) utilize Moller's patented muffler technology - the
Skycar is expected to be as quiet as a delivery truck on
takeoff and landing - 70 decibels at 50 feet.
With quick, vertical takeoff and
landing, Skycar noise will be heard on the ground for only 10
seconds or less - the Skycar doesn't require long, noisy
flight at low altitudes to take off and land as do other
aircraft, so it can be used in or near residential areas.
The Skycar can take off and land on a
sound-insulated roof, where its low noise won't disturb
office workers or apartment/condo residents underneath.
Vibration and noise in the cabin will be
at lower levels than for conventional small aircraft - the
nacelles are also mufflers, the propulsion system has very
few moving parts, and the rotary engines have less vibration
than conventional engines - the remaining noise will be
reduced by using phase cancellation technology already in use
on some commercial aircraft.
Has low
pollution and can use alternative fuels
Engines used in Skycars have
met the
demanding Ultra-Low Emissions Standard of California State
without needing any catalytic add-ons.
For trips over 30 miles, the M400 fueled
by gasoline will produce 4 times fewer nitrogen oxides that
contribute to acid rain, 10 times fewer hydrocarbons that
create smog, and 3 times less carbon dioxide that may
contribute to global warming. Use of liquid natural gas or
liquid hydrogen as fuels would produce even less of these
pollutants.
The Skycar would complement
environmentally sound, short distance ground transportation
systems using nonpolluting bicycles, electric cars, and
trucks.
A nation that uses the Skycar as a major
transportation vehicle and has abundant sources of
non-petroleum fuels could reduce its dependence on foreign
oil - over 20 countries have significant amounts of cheap
natural gas.
Hydrogen will probably be the best fuel
for the Skycar in the future, especially for those regions
that can produce it locally - hydrogen does not have to be
based on imported fossil fuels, and does not contribute to
local pollution or global warming - hydrogen can already be
produced for about $3 a gallon from solar energy ($1.50 a
gallon from fossil fuels), similar to the price for gasoline
plus taxes in some countries.
The Skycar uses fewer resources than the
auto - due to use by many more people per day and a longer
lifetime, it is expected that a single Skycar during its
lifetime will replace 60 autos.
THE M400 SKYCAR -
THE TRANSPORTATION SOLUTION
A
superior transportation option
The Skycar combines the performance of
airplanes and the vertical takeoff and landing capability of
helicopters in a single vehicle without the limitations of
either.
The Skycar will be used like an
automobile, taking you from your home or office in privacy
directly to your destination 10 to thousands of miles away.
A Skycar will be dispatched to most
passengers from a human piloted commercial air limousine
service or, later, an electronically piloted air taxi service
- many individuals and companies will, of course, own
Skycars.
But with efficient, convenient, and
inexpensive travel provided by the commercial air limo or air
taxi service, only a few individuals or corporations are
expected to choose to own and operate their own Skycars.
Because Skycar economics support
fleet-type operations with ride-sharing rather than
large-scale individual ownership, 20 times fewer Skycars than
autos could serve the same number of people in auto-intensive
countries such as the US.
Why
there will be only minimal private ownership of Skycars
Operation of numerous Skycars in an area
requires close intercommunications and control, best achieved
through coordination by a fleet ground controller.
Fleet operations and dispatch eliminates
the parking and maintenance hassles of individual ownership,
especially for the electronically piloted vehicle.
Few individuals will be able to afford
to buy or, more importantly, frequently upgrade their
vehicles as new electronics, avionics, and software become
available.
Requires
no parking at destination
A Skycar air taxi service will require
only brief landings, not long-term parking, so modified
rooftops, plus some curbside bus stops or passenger loading
zones set aside for Skycar use, should provide enough space
to accommodate most Skycars in urban areas - some interim and
long-term parking areas can be set aside for Skycars on top
of parking garages and park-and-ride lots.
To modify their rooftops for Skycars,
building owners will have to install landing pads,
noise-abatement fencing and insulation, small parking areas,
and elevators or staircases.
Not much modification is required
because most roofs are built to handle rainwater and snow
loads, and noise abatement is already built in to muffle roof
machinery such as air conditioning.
Less modification would be required than
for helicopters, which are heavier, noisier, and require a larger
unobstructed space.
The cost of modified rooftops could be
more than recovered by charging landing fees for Skycars.
Supports
ride-sharing for commuting and regional travel
The air taxi dispatch system can put
people going on the same path or to the same destination into
the same Skycar - thus fly-on-demand service will result in
dynamic ride-sharing.
Ride-sharing in the Skycar will not
require you to change vehicles between journey legs, as do
most multi-passenger transit systems - this saves time, of
course, and also stress from having to worry about making
connections.
Even with the additional time needed to
pick up and let off other passengers, the Skycar will still
provide a 4 times faster commute than is currently available
with the auto, vanpool, or mass transit, except for very
short distances.
If the Skycar could eliminate 1% of the
car commuters, it would eliminate about 3% of the miles
driven - 9% of US commuters who drive long distances now
account for 27% of all commuting miles.
Next
Relieves ground traffic congestion
Average
Speed of Autos in Congested Cities (1995)
|
City
|
MPH
|
| Jakarta |
6
|
| Tokyo |
12
|
| Hong Kong |
12
|
| LA (yr. 2000) |
15
|
The physical limits of ground
transportation have been or soon will be reached in many
large cities, such as Los Angeles and Tokyo - there is no
more space for highways, parking lots, rails, etc. - auto
speed in urban areas in the US peaked in 1970.
Ground transportation systems, even the
fastest ones, simply cannot overcome the inherent physical
limitations of having to travel circuitous routes along
1-dimensional paths over 2-dimensional ground surfaces.
The Skycar takes advantage of the fact
that there is much more physical space available for vehicles
in the air overhead than on roads or rails - the M400 supports higher
traffic density in the air, even at high speeds, because of
the planned highways in the sky backed by radars, instant
maneuvering capability, constant electronic monitoring of
conditions, and communications with other Skycars - a Skycar
will normally be able to take the most direct route between
two points.
There would be much less traffic
congestion in the air with electronically piloted Skycars
than on the ground with autos - a whole freeway of autos
could be replaced by a single layer of Skycars 2 miles wide
with 1 mile between vehicles on the same path and 500 feet
between adjacent paths.
In the US, transit systems that serve
urban areas have actually been declining in ridership as
people prefer private vehicles - the Skycar offers the
flexibility of ride sharing or private use, especially when
electronic piloting is implemented.
The Skycar, traveling directly from
origin to destination (except for detours around restricted
areas such as airports) can relieve suburb-to-suburb
transportation problems as well as suburb-to-city ones,
without having to build new roads or rail.
Also
relieves airport congestion
Air transportation is increasingly being
limited by the growing congestion at airports - this
situation is even beginning to impact aircraft manufacturers
- Boeing, for example, sees sales being constrained by this
in the near future.
Few new airports are being built in the
over-developed world - in fact, small airports are being torn
down at the rate of 10 per year - and enlarging the existing
hub airports is proving difficult, if not impossible, in many
cases.
The Ways Airports Delay the
Traveler
|
|
· Passengers require
extra time to get to and from airports using ground
transportation.
|
|
· Passengers have to
check in, wait, load, and then wait again for takeoff
clearance.
|
|
· Airplanes have to wait
in holding patterns if the airport is crowded.
|
|
· Airplanes are not
allowed to land or take off in fog, snow, storm, with
ice on runway, or in any condition where visual
clearance is less than 500 to 1000 feet.
|
|
· Airplanes must depend
on the air traffic control system, which is now
strained to the limit, and already impacts airline
schedules.
|
Is
inexpensive to use
By being in constant use throughout the
day, having few moving parts, being fuel efficient, and
reducing salary costs with electronic piloting, the total
cost per passenger mile of the Skycar in an air taxi
operation is similar to that of the automobile or commercial
aircraft - even with an acquisition cost of $400,000 per
vehicle.
The cost ranges from 92¢/mile for one
passenger in a piloted M400 air limousine, down to 12¢/mile
in the electronically piloted single passenger M100 air taxi,
as shown in the following table - a pickup charge for each
passenger of $1 to $3 is added per flight.
Cost
|
TICKET COST PER PASSENGER MILE |
$0.92
|
1 passenger in piloted M400 Air
Limousine |
$0.31
|
3 passengers in piloted M400 |
$0.17
|
4 passengers in electronically
piloted M400 |
$0.12
|
1 passenger in electronically
piloted M100 |
The ticket cost per passenger mile was
computed based on the cost assumptions in the table below.
| |
COST ASSUMPTIONS |
$400,000
|
Purchase Price M400, 10 year life,
straight line cost |
40
|
Hours of use per week |
70%
|
Seats filled |
200
|
Average speed (mph) |
1.25
|
Fuel cost per gallon |
10
|
Fuel usage - miles per gallon for
M400 |
$25
|
Maintenance cost per flight hour |
$17,000
|
Management and administration per
vehicle per year |
$50,000
|
Pilot - cost per year, flying 70% of
the time |
8¢/mile
|
Ground control, profit, advertising,
parking, insurance, training |
70%
|
Flight miles that are billable |
The 4-passenger M400 Skycar has
excellent fuel economy for trips longer than 300 miles - in
excess of 60 passenger miles per gallon, consuming about 1/10
gallon of fuel to get to the altitude needed for a short
trip.
Increases
mobility

Many governments believe that increased
transportation mobility results in increased dependence on
foreign oil, increased crowding, and increased pollution, and
worse, that any improvements to mobility will be only
temporary.
Thus, individuals seeking increased
mobility through additional roads and autos are being opposed
by governments impressed by the disadvantages - so
governments are trying to substitute various forms of mass
transit, but individuals aren't riding - the Skycar solves
this by providing individual transportation that also has the
advantages of mass transit.
Figure caption for translation:
Highway congestion results in public pressure to add capacity. This result
in added capacity, which makes travel easier. This encourages urban sprawl,
which results in increase in number and average length of trips.
Next
Requires no expensive infrastructure
Currently, only helicopters and other
vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) vehicles can avoid
airports, but heliports and vertiports have had to be
relatively large to accommodate the large, noisy vehicles
needed to carry enough passengers for profitable flights.
The Skycar will use much smaller
vertiports - built on flat roof tops, on top of parking
garages, in parking lots, etc.
With the Skycar, governments will not
have to build new freeways, parking lots, or airports, so can
save farms, wetlands, forests, and of course money - the
Skycar infrastructure doesn't require thousands of square
miles to be paved over - the land required for small
vertiports is less than 1/100th the amount needed for an
equivalent rail system.
The Skycar will not require public
subsidies as do large mass transit systems and the auto - no
big outlay for infrastructure is needed to enable the Skycar
to start operations, as is required for virtually every other
form of transportation - and, once installed, a Skycar system
can add new service areas in months, not years.
The small infrastructure required can be
financed by use charges - flight time estimated at 12¢ per
minute and vertiports at $1 per use (1990 dollars). It is
estimated that this level of funding will be sufficient to
finance the air taxi system's use of central navigation,
communication and weather information service, with link-up
to the ground and air traffic control systems.
Large-scale use of the Skycar will cost
much less than many proposed transportation alternatives,
such as light rail, high speed rail, or MagLev - due
primarily to much reduced ground infrastructure required for
an equivalent Skycar system, costs will be 1/5 to 1/20 that
of a rail system.
Helps
the long distance commuter
The Skycar will replace existing
commutes of 40 minutes with flights of 4 to 8 minutes - plus,
with the air limo or taxi service, you won't have to park.
When the electronically piloted air taxi
is available, you won't even have to drive or put up with a
stranger (pilot) driving you.
Just call the dispatcher on your
cell-phone - tell him or her where you want to go - in a few
minutes, when your Skycar arrives, get in, and lift off
immediately - fly straight to your destination across town or
across the continent.
Many auto commuters will take the Skycar
just because they don't like the hassle of driving.
The Skycar has the potential to
significantly increase your productivity on the job by
reducing the time and stress of your commute.
Lets
you live where you want
With the Skycar, you can live in a
scenic or rural area rather than in a nearby expensive
congested suburb and still work in the city - live up to 100
miles away and still have less than a half-hour commute.
Suburb-to-suburb commuting within a
large region will also be feasible with the Skycar.
Attend cultural events, special school
or university, and visit recreation spots without having to
live in or near the urban area.
Workers can afford to live in cheaper
housing much further from the city, because the commute time
is still reasonable.
The middle and upper class will be able
to choose the most desirable home sites within a much greater
area than is possible now, and can enjoy the benefits of
pursuing business or professional opportunities over a wide
region.
Retirement, vacation, and planned
"rural setting" communities will proliferate
further from cities, without needing additional expensive
freeways - 2-lane roads will handle the necessary truck and
reduced auto traffic - with the Skycar, shopping and medical
facilities can be centralized for a region, not duplicated in
every community.
Improves
family and community life
With the Skycar families can quickly
come together from distant areas - older children can easily
visit relatives or friends, or attend private school or
lessons in next city, without requiring a parent to drive
them.
Increased access because of quick, easy
Skycar transportation means that scattered individuals and
communities will be able to draw on many resources and
activities just as urban dwellers in large cities do now -
high density will not be required to support rich and varied
cultural opportunities.
Communities are likely to develop their
own individual character as a result of the Skycar - instead
of "plastic malls" endlessly repeated in each
community for the convenience of its residents, people will
find it just as convenient to visit a truly unique shop or
restaurant in another town or city in the region -
communities will vie to attract residents and/or tourists,
and can draw on people over a wide area.
Opens
up new areas for development worldwide
The Skycar overcomes the limitations of
difficult terrain such as mountains, forests, islands,
deserts, and tundra, where the cost of transportation
infrastructure has been prohibitive - the Skycar would
greatly improve transportation in, for example, Japan,
Indonesia, Greece, Brazil, Chile, China, Russia, Alaska, and
Saudi Arabia - 40 countries have already contacted Moller
about the Skycar.
Japan, for example, recently completed a
costly 33 mile undersea tunnel to the island of Hokkaido to
shave 2.5 hours off a 13.5 hour commute from Tokyo to Sapporo
- the M400 would have cut 11.5 hours off the commute, and the
expensive tunnel wouldn't have been needed.
The figure shows how a small island near
Tokyo could be used as an airport, with people arriving very
near their final destination via Skycar within 1 hour.
Many countries and regions would, with
improved transportation available at relatively low cost, be
able to enjoy greater economic development and an improved
quality of life - better medical services, shopping, business
activity, etc. with the Skycar.
Next
THE MOLLER SKYCAR - A GREAT FUTURE
THE
AIR TAXI - A NEW MARKET CONCEPT
A new vehicle, the M400 Skycar, makes
possible a new concept in transportation, the air taxi
(initially, the air limousine).
The air taxi concept includes fleets of
Skycars dispatched to pick up and deliver passengers from
small vertiports or park-and-ride lots to their destinations
10 to hundreds of miles away.
Each air taxi franchise would include
dispatch and maintenance facilities, ground control,
communications with air traffic controllers and information
from weather satellites - emergency landing areas would also
be designated and maintained.
The various franchises would overlap and
coordinate activities, including ground control and
communications - these would also be provided to private
Skycar owners for a fee.
These franchises would be expected
initially to cover small areas - several hundred square miles
- and be extended throughout entire countries, continents,
archipelagoes, etc.
The franchises would likely be operated
by local airlines or other established transportation
companies and coordinated with other long distance
(especially overseas) air and ground transport.
Why
the Air Taxi concept is critical
Growing congestion at major airports. Growing congestion highways
A new transportation product must be
fully supported, easier to use and maintain, less expensive,
and clearly more beneficial than existing systems, or people
will not accept the new form of transportation - the air taxi
will have this support.
From a business perspective, a new
product must also fill a need that is currently not being
met, and create a new market to meet that need - new products
can completely take over an existing market only when they have at least 3 times
more benefits at the same or lower cost.
The air taxi concept provides that new
market for the Skycar - later, as the Skycar is established
in the air taxi market, it will make additional inroads into
the old, established general aviation, automobile, and
commercial jet markets.
Early
phase - Air Limousine
The air taxi concept will initially be
set up as an "air limousine" service with a
licensed pilot to operate each vehicle - the maximum load per M400 Skycar will be 3 passengers plus the pilot.
Each air limousine fleet will have a
central dispatch and maintenance facility, and will handle
garaging, repairs, dispatch of rescue vehicles in case of
emergency, navigation and weather information, and flight
plan filing with conventional air traffic control
authorities.
Businesses will save hours by using the
limousine to fly executives, sales personnel, customers, etc.
to facilities without being constrained by schedules or
availability of airports.
High
growth phase - Air Taxi
After electronic piloting capability has
been added to the M400, an electronically piloted Skycar air
taxi service can be offered, which will vastly expand the
Skycar's market potential by lowering operating costs and
permitting landing at many more locations.
Without the human pilot, the M400
passenger load will increase to 4 passengers per Skycar.
While the electronically piloted Skycar
will be able to fly by itself, the on-board human pilot will
be phased out gradually as people can become comfortable with
the electronic pilot.
With electronic piloting, a ground
controller will monitor the flight of many Skycars and be
able to take control of any Skycar in case an emergency
exceeds the electronic pilot's flight rules.
In flight, passengers will always be
able to request immediate landing or changes of course and
speed with the controller - the electronics on the Skycar
will actually carry out the directions, consistent with air
traffic control, rules of the road, and weather conditions,
automatically making necessary maneuvers to avoid obstacles, gusts, etc.
Passengers will always be able to
contact a human for immediate assistance and reassurance -
the ground controller will know exactly where each Skycar is,
the status of the vehicle, fuel, weather, etc., and will send
out a relief vehicle if an emergency landing is required.
Why
electronic piloting is inevitable
Electronic piloting is needed for three
reasons: to make it possible for anyone to fly in the Skycar
without a pilot, for safety, and to lower operating costs -
therefore, electronic piloting must be done, done right, and
put into the Skycar as soon as possible.
Electronic piloting is feasible now -
most commercial jets can now be flown and even landed
automatically - many people are not aware that the pilot
actually needs to fly the jet for only about 2 minutes during
the entire trip - also many unmanned vehicles are being used
by the military.
Electronic piloting is being considered
by large aircraft manufacturers - "Will the captain of a
future ultra-high-capacity airline be on the flightdeck or
the ground?" was quoted from an interview article with
Bernard Ziegler, Airbus Senior VP for Engineering and former
pilot, in Flight International, 9/23/92.
It has been suggested by aircraft safety
researchers that, in emergency situations, more commercial
airline passengers have died due to pilot error than have
been saved due to pilot action.
Only minimal development is needed to
adapt electronic piloting to the Skycar's aerodynamics - all
elements of the technology are available now, or within easy
reach - of course, software will have to be written for the
Skycar system.
Although even the earliest version of
the M400 Skycar will provide a great deal of electronic
assistance to the pilot, and therefore will be easy to fly
and safe compared with other aircraft, the Skycar's market
potential will be limited until full electronic piloting is
available.
The Skycar and ground facility computers
will, under electronic piloting, automatically handle
self-test, takeoff and landing sequences, cruising,
navigating, communicating with air traffic control,
maneuvering in gusts, avoiding other aircraft, and other
normal flight operations.
The passengers will only have to tell
the Skycar the destination - further instructions will be
optional, and limited to speed, altitude, and request for
change of flight path or early landing.
Electronic flight rules will eliminate
the vast majority of possible airspace conflicts due to pilot
or controller error - one of the flight rules would use
prearranged highways in the sky.
Skycar
ground controller and dispatcher
Skycar ground controllers and
dispatchers will monitor Skycar movements.
The dispatcher's primary task will be to
set up Skycar trips in response to passenger requests.
The dispatchers will also provide other
services before, during, and after the flight, including
coordinating ground transportation - taxis, limousines,
buses, car rental, etc.
The Skycar ground controller essentially
combines the functions of a ground-based pilot and an air
traffic controller.
The ground controller will manage
real-time information to, from, and between Skycars, the
conventional air traffic control, weather sources, etc. -
this is especially needed when a Skycar's radar visibility is
limited by a heavy storm to about 10 miles.
The Skycar ground controller can take
supervisory control of a Skycar in case an emergency
overwhelms the on-board human pilot or (later) the electronic
pilot system.
The likelihood of a Skycar
transportation system outage due to failures at any single
ground facility would be eliminated by having another
facility within range to take over operation, if needed.
Next
OTHER
MARKETS
The
light aircraft market
The initial market for the Skycar will
be corporations and wealthy or owner-operators who wish to
pilot the vehicle themselves or retain a pilot and replace
their private helicopter or small airplane - Moller already
has over 100 orders for M400's - this market includes small
business people, doctors, sales representatives, upper
managers in companies and government, etc.
The M400 Skycar should be able to
compete successfully against light airplanes, and against
small helicopters where extended hovering is not required -
the Skycar can be used for news gathering and traffic
reporting, courier and small parcel delivery, and corporate,
hobby and recreational transportation.
The
regional airline market
When electronic piloting is implemented,
the Skycar can be used by regional airlines to improve
service - it can provide superior service at a similar cost
to the short hop jet - the initial fare for a Skycar regional
airline would be 18¢ per passenger mile for a 200 mile trip,
based on a model of the operational costs for a regional
airline using data from Aircraft Economics, March 1993
- this compares to conventional aircraft fares of 13¢ to
35¢ per passenger mile.
Skycar Improves Service for
Regional Airtravel
|
| Short time between flights -- as
often as every 5 min. on busy routes |
| Shorter check-in and boarding time --
be airborne in as little as 5 minutes |
| Guaranteed flight any time of the day
-- an option |
| Guaranteed flight -- 10X fewer delays
due to maintenance or poor weather |
| Flights to small cities -- on routes
having as few as 10 passengers/hour |
| Direct flights between cities
separated by less than 700 miles |
| Flights landing near or in cities --
on very small landing sites |
The Skycar can even compete on some
400-2000 mile trips - it may have a somewhat higher ticket
price than the conventional aircraft, but passengers will
not have to wait for a scheduled departure or wait at
intermediate airports.
Why the M400 Ride Is Similar in
Cost to the Regional Jet Ride
|
M400 has:
|
Results in:
|
| 4 times lower cost per seat than jet |
$50K, not $200K per passenger seat
purchase cost |
| Fewer service employees |
No pilots or cabin attendants for air
taxi -
fewer baggage, ticket handlers |
| More passenger seats filled |
Jet = 50%- 67% due to fixed schedule
-
anticipate over 80% for M400 with fly on demand |
Quick stopover plus return
to cruise speed |
12 minutes fuel stop
vs. 30 - 60 minute for jet |
| Lower maintenance and spares cost |
Spare M-400s are quickly available if
immediate
maintenance is needed - very few parts are needed. |
Trips significantly longer than 450
miles may require short rest stops for the passengers - the
vehicle will need to be refueled every 900 miles.
Travelers may even enjoy the refueling
stops on long Skycar trips - they can, for example visit
attractions such as Yellowstone, the Grand Canyon, or Las
Vegas - an option not easily available to current airline
passengers.
Law
enforcement and rescue
With or without electronic piloting, the
Skycar makes an excellent police vehicle - it can respond
instantly, fly between buildings to pursue and trap
criminals, assess situations, and control crowds.
The Skycar can be used for such
operations as search and rescue, ambulance, ski patrol,
forest fire patrol, disaster evacuation, and relief - it
surpasses helicopters for most applications not requiring
long hover or large payload - helicopters can typically
respond to only 30% of calls, but the Skycar, which is able
to fly at night, operate in most weather conditions, and land
in smaller areas, should have close to a 90% response rate.
The US Coast Guard can use M400 Skycars
to perform border and drug patrol, and search and rescue at
sea.
The Moller Skycar should, because of
superior capability, ease of use, and lower cost, greatly
expand the use of air vehicles in law enforcement, small
quasi-military police actions, surveillance, and rescue
operations - the future 6-passenger vehicle will be
particularly useful as an ambulance.
Military
The M400 Skycar has characteristics and
options that can exceed those of many other air vehicles for
government agencies and military uses.
The VTOL Skycar can take off or land on
a small area - its fan blades are enclosed for safety - no
airport or other permanent ground facility is needed.
The Skycar appears to be the only
aircraft usable by the Navy on non-aircraft ships - due to
its 1/10 second reaction time and enclosed fan blades it
could take off or land on a small deck even in rough seas.
The Skycar is small, simple, easy to
maintain, and can be transported without disassembly.
The Skycar avoids detection - it is
small, quiet, cool, and hugs the ground - it also
outmaneuvers other unmanned air vehicles, helicopters, and
reconnaissance aircraft.
Optional Kevlar armor would make the
Skycar impervious to small automatic gunfire - also, since no
part is flight-critical, the Skycar can continue to fly with
a hole shot through it in any direction.
Unmanned autonomous or remotely
controlled use of Skycars is practical, with larger payload
(1000 lbs) than for other unmanned autonomous vehicles - the
Skycar also has a longer flight endurance, and is
sufficiently capable to handle many missions that previously
required a human pilot, making it cheaper and more expendable
for hazardous missions.
The Skycar can be used by military
personnel as an "air jeep" or ambulance - going
faster, further, and in a greater variety of weather and
battle conditions than small helicopters - it can descend for
landing in enemy territory in 3 minutes from an altitude of
20,000 feet.
The Skycar can be considered for various military
missions (updated Feb. 2001)
1. Medical evacuation
2. Surveillance
3. Search & rescue
4. Future Combat System support vehicle
5. Reconnaissance (intelligence, battle damage assessment, etc.)
6. Special Operations Force insertion/extraction
7. Communications retransmission platform
8. Jamming platform
9. Unmanned variants to perform duties in dirty, high-risk environments
10. Weapons platform
While large helicopters and
reconnaissance and fighter airplanes will continue to be
needed in the military setting to carry heavy firepower or
armor, the Skycar should capture a significant share of the
lightweight portion of this market, as well as expanding it
for new missions.
Next
TECHNICAL
AND COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT STAGES
Stage
1 (2002-2005): Pilot required
|
Production:
10 vehicles in 2002, up to 200 vehicles/yr by 2005
Skycar price: $995,000 initially, $350,000 with five years
Sales: $9 million in 2002, up to $150
million/yr by 2005
|
Before being commercially available, the
Skycar needs to be extensively flight tested. A flight test program will be
designed specifically for the Skycar and modified as experience is
gained. Two or three years of flight test is anticipated.
The Skycar
may be certified in 2003 in the
US as a "powered lift" vehicle, to be operated under similar rules
as other general aviation - sales begin to the general light
aircraft market.
Moller International forms a strategic
alliance with a large aerospace company for development and manufacturing.
Full-scale effort is launched to develop
or adapt electronic flight rules, electronic piloting, air
traffic control, radars, noise abatement, and manufacturing
processes.
Stage
2 (2005+): Pilot optional
Production:
1000/yr (until electronic pilot)Skycar price: $500,000
Sales:
$500 million/yr
FAA certification is obtained for
electronic flight rules aiding the pilot - introduction of the
"highways in the Sky" concept
Flight rules during this stage would be
simple and low risk - they would include: land only at
authorized locations, extend landing gear when near ground,
not run out of fuel, use position information from other
Skycars, stay away from other aircraft and airports, not take
off if automatic checkoff found some essential equipment not
operational.
The Skycar's first major market - as an
air limousine - will be where air traffic regulations can be
easily adapted, liability concerns are not unreasonable,
transportation is currently inadequate, and considerable
development capital is available - definitely outside of the
US, probably in Asia.
Factory is built with future capacity to
produce 10,000 Skycars/yr.
Stage
3 (2008+): Electronic piloting
| Production:
10,000/yr Skycar
price: $300,000
Sales: $3
billion/yr
|
Avionics and ground support electronics
for full electronic piloting are installed in new Skycars -
dispatch/control stations and old Skycars are retrofitted.
A program is set up to help passengers
with the transition to electronic control - as soon as people
see how easy and safe electronically controlled flight is,
only brief instruction will be needed.
The Skycar moves into commercial fleet
operations in the US and Europe to meet high demand as these
countries revise their aircraft regulations, to permit the
extremely safe electronic piloting.
As the public accepts the electronically
piloted vehicle, demand should increase and the air taxi
service can be quickly expanded - eventually, the new air
taxi service will largely supersede the old human-piloted air
limousine service, and much short-hop commercial aircraft
service.
Skycar Models
|
M100
|
M400
|
M600
|
|
Flight lengths
- typical
|
10
- 200 miles
|
20
- 500 miles
|
50
- 500 miles
|
|
Number of
seats/passengers
|
1
|
4
|
6
|
|
Number of
engines
|
2
|
8
|
8
|
|
Horsepower
|
300
|
1200
|
1400
|
|
Gross weight
|
600
lbs
|
2,400
lbs
|
3,000
lbs
|
|
Fuel Capacity
|
10
gallons
|
60
gallons
|
50
gallons
|
|
Fuel to lift to 5,000 ft
|
0.13 gallon
|
0.5
gallon
|
0.6 gallon
|
|
Fuel rate for commercial cruise
|
40 mpg
|
20 mpg
|
15mpg
|
In this stage, manufacturing will begin
to be shared with other companies, partly to fend off
competition - Moller will need to initiate additional
strategic partnerships and offset arrangements.
Stage
4 (Beyond 2010): Widespread use
| Production:
over 100,000 / year Skycar price: $200,000
Sales: over
$20 billion/yr
|
Private ownership will increase, but
most people will still use the Skycar on a per-trip basis.
Specialized Skycar models will be
developed for the military, stunt flying, handicapped,
ambulance, landing on water, package delivery, etc.
Skycar market matures, with expansion
into major transportation sectors of many countries including
large incursions into the automobile market.
Additional factories built for
production in excess of 100,000/yr.
Next
Total
cost of all stages: No direct experience to estimate from
The cost of developing a Skycar and
making the production facilities for an electronically
piloted vehicle appears to fall between $1.5 billion and $5
billion - projects of similar complexity at Boeing, the Space
Station and the 777 airplane, suggest that approximately $3
billion of funding will be needed.
The Skycar project could have a much
lower cost because it will be an integrated evolutionary
design - by having about 50 times fewer people and parts to
coordinate than a typical Boeing aircraft, it can have rapid
prototyping and testing as well as using more innovative
technology.
Or the Skycar project could have a
higher cost because the design and manufacturing groups may
not have the needed experience with composites, small
aircraft, integrated design, software design - there may also
be political delays in some countries, such as the US, plus
additional costs in setting up ground controllers and
integration with existing air transportation systems.
Risks
Primary risks to
high volume development would
include difficulty in completing the systems for electronic piloting. Weight and complexity of the
avionics may require further development.
Other risks of development include
inability to sufficiently abate noise inside and outside the
aircraft, early phase safety and comfort, and FAA reluctance
to make the appropriate changes (in the US).
Another concern is the reliability of
the thrust deflection system - this is about the only
weakness in the Skycar's otherwise elegant design - the
constant motion of the deflection vanes to provide a smooth
ride in turbulent conditions could necessitate a redesign for
added strength.
There is a risk during development from
potential competitors who have studied the Moller design. Patents
provide reasonable protection.
Competition
While other inventors have come up with
VTOL designs, none of the other designs are practical enough
to be considered as competition to the Skycar - they all have
too many flight critical parts, fly too slowly, consume too
much fuel, and have other limitations.
Current competitors don't have the
patented engine technology, redundancy, aerodynamic
stability, avionics, safety backups, noise abatement, low
fuel consumption, electronic piloting, and many other
features needed to make a vehicle of this type practical.
How
Did the Competition
Stack Up? (need to
update)
|
| |
M400
Skycar
(Moller)
|
Sky Commuter
(Barker)
|
Car
Plane
(U of Ariz.)
|
| Can it still fly when an engine dies? |
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
| Does design utilize aerodynamic lift
for fuel economy? |
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
| Can it be used at night, and in poor
weather? |
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
| Is it independent of special
ground facilities, e.g. airports? |
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
| Will it be free from unacceptable air
and noise pollution? |
Yes Yes
|
No No
|
Yes No
|
| Will it be safer than auto? |
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
To give just one example - stable,
controlled flight using multiple engines with vectored thrust
in vertical, horizontal, and transitional modes, and in all
weather conditions, is not easy to achieve - a major national
laboratory, after seeing an earlier Moller design, tried and
failed to make one that could fly.
Paul Moller has overcome the
difficulties, through 25 years of experience and building
numerous working models - competitors have simply not had
Moller's experience and dedication to the task.
Technical
feasibility
Moller spent 10 years developing a
powerful, lightweight rotary engine that is efficient and low
cost - 2 horsepower per pound at a cost of $50 per horsepower
- this development was so successful, Moller has spun off a
separate engine company to market these engines for other
applications.
During the initial investigation of the
Skycar, Boeing was concerned that its small wings would not
have sufficient aerodynamic lift - however, after further
study, Boeing concluded that the Moller design provides more
than adequate lift - 75% of its lift derives from the shape
of the nacelles and body.
The Skycar is unique in being able to
exploit electronic piloting - it has a low aspect ratio (is
minimally affected by downdrafts), no external moving parts,
an extremely fast response propulsion system, is not required
to be compatible with previous piloted aircraft, has adequate
on-board computer power, sufficient communications and
sensors, and is a small enough vehicle to allow short design
cycles.
Although the M-400 Skycar has not yet
completed an initial flight test, engineers from Boeing,
McDonnell Douglas, and NASA are confident that it will fly -
a previous model, the Moller 200, has successfully completed
200 flights.
Figure caption for translation:
Skycar gets lift from entire vehicle. Square feet of lift surface: 12 from
each front nacelle, 15 from each rear nacelle, 15 from each wing, and 42
from the body.
Next
Why
the market potential is huge
The idea of a new transportation vehicle
such as the Skycar building up a huge market in under ten
years is not unreasonable - the jet engine completely
superseded the old prop engine on commercial airliners within
6 years - this required extending airport runways, as well as
designing, building, and selling new airplanes.
Our expectation of a huge market is also
based on the idea that the Skycar will not just take market
share from current forms of transportation, it will
actually expand transportation use - people will take
more trips, and will go to places they haven't been able to
get to before.
Market Share Expected in
Selected Markets
|
Market
|
Skycar
% share
Stage III
|
Skycar
% share
Stage IV
|
Number of Skycars
Stage III
|
Skycars
Stages
III & IV
|
| Japan - HS Rail |
1%
|
10%
|
1,000
|
11,000
|
| Taiwan - HS Rail |
100%
|
0%
|
833
|
-
|
| US Regional Airline |
10%
|
20%
|
11,333
|
22,666
|
| US Auto long distance |
1%
|
5%
|
8,000
|
40,000
|
| US Auto commute |
0.5%
|
1%
|
30,000
|
60,000
|
| Seattle Light Rail |
100%
|
0%
|
1,000
|
1,000
|
| |
|
Skycars
|
52,000
|
135,000
|
All functions of the Skycar operation -
development, manufacture, operation, maintenance and ground
traffic control - will be driven by the profit motive - this
is far better than mass transit projects, which
invariably are not self-supporting and so increase taxes.
Why
Asia is an appropriate early market
Asian countries have intense urban
traffic congestion - ground traffic averages less than 5 mph
in Jakarta and Bangkok - cities with more than five million
people are enduring traffic congestion unimaginable in the
US.
A significant number of Asians can
afford to pay for better service - there will be over
1,000,000 millionaires in China by the year 2000 - India has
largest middle class in the world with 150,000,000 people need to update.
Asia has natural gas, which is ideal for
Skycars and even better than gasoline in Asia - by the year
2000 it is predicted that Pacific Rim demand will outstrip
regional supplies of oil by nearly 3 to 1, and that 90% of
the regions oil imports will come from the Persian Gulf
- the Asian countries with largest natural gas production are
Indonesia, Australasia, Malaysia, and China.
Several Asian countries are spending
immense sums of money to set up aviation industries - the
Skycar could be designed and prototyped in US and
manufactured in Asia for Asians - providing jobs as well as
exports.
Asian countries do not have
over-restrictive liability laws - for example, the American-made
R44 helicopter is being sold in Asia but not yet in the
US.
Asian topography, islands, dense
forests, fast population growth, and inadequate
infrastructure, both in urban and rural areas, stresses
current transportation systems.
MEET
THE DEVELOPERS
Paul
S. Moller
President, CEO, and Chairman of the
Board of Moller International, Inc., a Davis, California
company.
Received his ME and PhD degrees at
McGill University in Canada in 1961 and 1963.
Former professor at University of
California at Davis in Mechanical and Aeronautical
Engineering - founded the Aeronautical Engineering program at at that
University.
Founded Moller International in 1983 to
develop the Skycar.
Has invested 25 years, over
$59 million,
and 600,000 man-hours developing the Skycar - graduate
students completed over 900 projects toward the Skycar.
His Skycar technology was granted a
comprehensive US patent in May, 1992, followed by foreign
patents in major industrial countries.
Moller
International, Inc.
Moller has received 100 deposits to date
(1995) to reserve Skycars for delivery after FAA
certification.
Is currently developing the 4-passenger
M400 Skycar, and has plans for 1, 2, and 6 passenger models.
Aerobotics Inc. was recently spun off to
produce the Aerobot®, their aerial robotic
unmanned VTOL vehicle powered by gasoline or electricity -
customers include Caltrans (California Department of
Transportation) and the US Department of Defense.
The Freedom Engine company focuses on
rotary engine applications and manufacturing. It is majority
owned by Moller International.
Next
What's
next for the Moller Skycar
Moller
has worked with the FAA to
develop certification standards for powered lift vehicles -
certification of the Skycar is expected within a few years.
Greater engine efficiency will permit
the Skycar to carry a 20% greater payload, approximately 240
lbs - one additional passenger or more luggage.
Greater engine efficiency and lighter
electronics will permit evolution to a 6-passenger vehicle
(but not larger - 6 passengers pushes the limit of this
technology) - the larger vehicle could carry more cargo
instead of more passengers, or be modified for rescue,
ambulance, as well as military uses.
Noise cancellation technology and
advanced fan design can be employed to provide additional
noise abatement.
Lightning strike and de-icing remain to
be addressed, but many potential solutions are available from
other aircraft experience.
About the
authors
Henry Lahore became interested in the Moller M400
skycar while working in a preliminary design team in Boeing
Defense & Space Group, where his job as a systems
engineer was to investigate new technologies with potential
military and commercial markets that would be viable in a 5
to 15-year time horizon. Prior to that he worked on
autonomous air, ground, and underwater vehicles.
He initiated an investigation of the Skycar design which
concluded that the concept was not only feasible, it was
elegant. Although Boeing has not broken with their
long-standing policy of ignoring small aircraft, Henry has
continued to be very interested in the Skycar.
Henry believes that the Skycar mass transportation
proposal is realistic and inevitable. He hopes his efforts
will enable it to happen years sooner than otherwise. He is on the technical advisory board for Moller
International and working at Boeing.
Henry's wife, Judy Lahore, wrote up the
original Skycar
presentation while she was a technical writer at Boeing, and
continues to be very interested in the concept.
V - QUOTATIONS
Mark my word: A combination
airplane and motor car is coming. You may smile. But it will
come . . . .
Henry Ford, 1940
The roads to support them
[autos], inadequate though they are, cost as much as a small
war; the analogy is a good one, for the casualties are on the
same scale.
A. C. Clarke, Profile
of the Future, 1984
The automobile is the
paradoxical example of a luxury object that has been devalued
by its own spread. But this practical devaluation has not yet
been followed by an ideological devaluation.
Andre Gortz, as
reported in USA Today, Sept. 1989
Cars confer on their owners
virtually limitless freedom as long as their numbers remain
limited.
Michael Renner, Worldwatch,
June 1988, pg 46
Cars are an urban thrombosis .
. . that slowly deprives the city of its lifeblood.
Kirkpatrick Sale,
quoted in Worldwatch, June 1988, pg 46
The high speed rail is a plan
for the economically illiterate.
Herb Kelleher,
Southwest Airlines CEO, quoted in Railway Age,
April 1991, pg 49
Why is it so difficult to
replace the auto? Cars do the best job of transporting us and
our belongings from exactly where we are to exactly where we
want to go at the time, velocity, and route of our choice, in
privacy, and with relative security from assault or bad
weather.
Judy Lahore, 1991
The auto, when introduced, was
5 times as fast, and as convenient as, the horse; as soon as
it became affordable, people gave up the horse - the Skycar
is 5 times as fast, and as convenient as, the auto;
therefore...!
Judy Lahore, 1991
I have been very impressed
with Moller's work, he knows what he is doing, and has been
systematically and correctly addressing the technical issues.
. . . It's really a breakthrough for the type and concept,
and it has merits from a cost standpoint that show promise to
be a future personal transportation system. John Zuk,
Chief, NASA's Office of Civil Transport
Every country that had
developed the affluence to afford individual mobility opts
for it.
David Cole, Audubon
Magazine, May 1993
If the telephone industry were
operating at 1900 levels of productivity, it would need 4
billion workers to do today's job. EastsideWeek,
July 7 ,1993
Show me a man over thirty who
regularly takes the bus, and I will show you a life failure - quote from a mass transit official. Edge City, pg
130
The best way to predict the
future is to invent it. Alan Key
The physical layout of our
society requires cars. No mass ground transit arrangement can
rival an automobile's comfort, privacy, and flexibility of
route and schedule. (the most-used public ground
transportation - even among the poor - is the taxicab).
J. Baldwin, "Green Cars", in Garbage,
June/July 1993
The best invention makes you
forget how you ever lived without it. Anonymous
The forces to bring about the
change in personal transportation are already present and
well known: clean-air regulations; the local and global
pollution from fossil fuel engines; the finitude of petroleum
supplies; growing concerns about congestion and safety.
Audubon Magazine, May 1993
People will not leave their
cars until there is a BETTER alternative. Anonymous

|